ROMNEY FINALLY PULLS VERY SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF OBAMA IN NATIONAL POLL THAT REALLY MEANS NOTHING
October 30 2012
Washington, D.C. – The perception had been, for a long time, that the election up until a month ago was Barack Obama’s to lose. Mitt Romney was as unpopular nationally as he was with Republicans and that meant that a re-election was a cinch, a cakewalk.
That changed with the first debate between the two, a showcase for Romney that showed him as not such a bad guy after all. It was the first chance many people had to see Romney actually speak and, combined with a lackluster performance from the President, allowed Romney to gain momentum for the first time, something which has carried him all month long.
That swing in popularity has also put the entire election in the balance. What was a one-horse race at the start is now very clearly a two-man battle, one that could be decided by only a few votes. That is perhaps best articulated in the most recent set of polls which actually put Romney ever so slightly ahead of Obama, something that actually really doesn’t matter because of third party candidates and the Electoral College, but at least offers bragging rights.
“Most of the gains for Romney have come from independents, who went from favoring Romney by a few points before the debates to favoring him 51% to 39% after the debates,” said the latest poll conducted by NPR.
The poll puts Romney at 48% to Obama’s 47% in national polling, which if course is absent a whole lot of percentages.
Because the poll did not take third party candidates into account or break down the polling by state it is essentially meaningless for both candidates.
“This is certainly a major shift for Romney and will certainly make the race tight right down to the wire but it was going to be anyways. These things usually are no matter what they seem like a month or two out. Still, it’s a great achievement for Romney who really should not have had this kind of comeback considering how little people actually like him,” said Scrape TV Political analyst Gabriel Kinsey. “I mean most people probably still don’t but they like Obama even less and so they have to vote for the other guy. That’s been a real boon for Romney, being the guy other than Obama and is quite possibly the thing that has allowed this surge in popularity. Where that goes from here I don’t know, I guess we will find out in a week.”
Obama still leads in most swing states, at least enough t win, according to every single poll.
“A lot can happen in a week and it is possible now, something no one would have dreamt of a month ago, that we could have a President Romney and if National Polling a week before the election was a deciding factor then we certainly would have that very thing right now. Unfortunately for him it doesn’t work that way, people still actually have to go out and vote,” continued Kinsey. “I’m sure Romney wishes that could happen right now, like this very second, and that it worked by popular vote because that would work out perfectly for him. It doesn’t though and he has to play by the rules which usually don’t work out very well for him.”
Romney, it’s believed, is polling 100 percent in the Romney households which were not a part of the national poll.
Edward Bastil, Political Correspondent